Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Cirelli 50.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 66.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Tuch
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tuch
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
49.9% (1,052)
-10.3%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
54.9% (82)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
48.7% (158)
+0.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cirelli
Home
47.1% (102)
46.7% (649)
Away
33.7% (86)
53.5% (643)
By Period
Tuch
Cirelli
P1
41.5%
50.1%
P2
43.3%
51.1%
P3
37.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |