Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Dvorak 52.9% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 63.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
53.7% (762)
-7.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.0% (124)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
47.6% (82)
-20.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
48.5% (33)
53.6% (461)
Away
37.1% (35)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
33.3%
54.1%
P2
46.2%
52.9%
P3
52.9%
53.8%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |