Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Dvorak 55.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 59.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tuch
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
56.4% (857)
-16.8%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
69.0% (29)
-38.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
50.6% (174)
-1.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
47.1% (102)
55.1% (501)
Away
33.7% (86)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
41.5%
55.8%
P2
43.3%
52.5%
P3
37.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
39.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |