Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Dvorak 53.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tuch 76.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 79.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tuch
Dvorak
Last 10: Tuch 6-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
4
0
Tuch
Dvorak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
6
Tuch
Dvorak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
53.0% (6,743)
-14.3%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
55.7% (1,005)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
51.0% (887)
-7.8%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
42.1% (394)
54.7% (4,115)
Away
38.8% (402)
51.7% (4,520)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
44.7%
54.5%
P2
40.6%
51.8%
P3
36.0%
53.0%
OT
27.3%
56.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |