Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Dvorak 51.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 75.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 60.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
52.2% (686)
-8.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
49.0% (104)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.5% (127)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
46.9% (32)
54.1% (423)
Away
39.5% (43)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
56.3%
51.4%
P2
35.5%
52.0%
P3
27.3%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |