Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 37.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Dvorak 51.9% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 51.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 90.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 76.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tuch
Dvorak
Last 5: Tuch 4-1 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
3
0
Tuch
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (20)
52.1% (714)
-12.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
56.7% (157)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.2% (191)
+1.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
33.3% (18)
55.0% (516)
Away
42.9% (14)
49.3% (546)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
33.3%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
22.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
37.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |