Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 67.4%
Defensive zone
Tuch 74.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 56.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Tuch
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tuch
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
53.7% (923)
-14.1%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
56.1% (244)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
58.6% (29)
-9.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Tuch
Draisaitl
Home
47.1% (102)
55.2% (636)
Away
33.7% (86)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Tuch
Draisaitl
P1
41.5%
50.8%
P2
43.3%
56.6%
P3
37.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |