Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 16-1 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tuch 89.8%
Defensive zone
Tuch 94.9%
Neutral zone
Tuch 92.6%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Tuch
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
16
(17 meetings)
1
16
Tuch
Draisaitl
Last 10: Tuch 1-9 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Tuch
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
9
Tuch
Draisaitl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Tuch
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
52.9% (10,240)
-14.2%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
55.7% (2,827)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
51.2% (977)
-8.0%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Tuch
Draisaitl
Home
42.1% (394)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
38.8% (402)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Tuch
Draisaitl
P1
44.7%
52.7%
P2
40.6%
53.6%
P3
36.0%
53.4%
OT
27.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |