Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 54.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 73.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 70.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Tuch
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tuch
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tuch
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tuch
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
55.9% (835)
-9.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.8% (228)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
50.0% (40)
-22.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Tuch
Draisaitl
Home
48.5% (33)
55.1% (508)
Away
37.1% (35)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Tuch
Draisaitl
P1
33.3%
55.8%
P2
46.2%
55.7%
P3
52.9%
59.0%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |