Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Greig 53.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 66.6%
Defensive zone
Tuch 52.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 62.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Tuch
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tuch
Greig
Last 6: Tuch 2-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tuch
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Tuch
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
53.6% (280)
-14.0%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
61.3% (31)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
56.5% (69)
-7.5%
On power play, Greig has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Tuch
Greig
Home
47.1% (102)
56.2% (185)
Away
33.7% (86)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Tuch
Greig
P1
41.5%
52.8%
P2
43.3%
51.6%
P3
37.5%
59.5%
Final 5 min
39.5%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |