Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Greig 50.6% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 70.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 72.9%
Neutral zone
Tuch 62.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Tuch
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tuch
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
51.5% (336)
-5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (24)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
43.2% (81)
-15.9%
On power play, Greig has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Tuch
Greig
Home
48.5% (33)
50.2% (247)
Away
37.1% (35)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Tuch
Greig
P1
33.3%
46.9%
P2
46.2%
58.8%
P3
52.9%
48.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |