Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Greig 48.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 89.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 60.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 68.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Tuch
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Tuch
Greig
Last 7: Tuch 2-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tuch
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Tuch
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tuch
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
48.5% (1,133)
-9.8%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
56.8% (74)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
46.5% (172)
-3.3%
On power play, Greig has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Tuch
Greig
Home
42.1% (394)
49.8% (681)
Away
38.8% (402)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Tuch
Greig
P1
44.7%
46.3%
P2
40.6%
51.2%
P3
36.0%
48.8%
OT
27.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |