Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Schwindt 50.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 62.7%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 61.7%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 62.5%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Turcotte
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Turcotte
Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
0
2
Turcotte
Schwindt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
49.8% (209)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On power play, Turcotte has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Turcotte is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Turcotte shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Schwindt
Home
46.3% (41)
47.2% (123)
Away
45.0% (80)
54.7% (95)
By Period
Turcotte
Schwindt
P1
43.6%
50.8%
P2
39.0%
51.2%
P3
53.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
37.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |