Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Schwindt 46.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 68.6%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 65.5%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 60.2%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Turcotte
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Turcotte
Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
0
1
Turcotte
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
Schwindt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
43.4% (122)
+10.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
75.0% (4)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Turcotte shoots left. Schwindt is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Schwindt
Home
53.2% (263)
40.3% (77)
Away
55.0% (209)
50.0% (58)
By Period
Turcotte
Schwindt
P1
57.2%
47.6%
P2
59.6%
42.9%
P3
44.1%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |