Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Schwindt 49.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 52.1%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 52.6%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 51.6%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Turcotte
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Turcotte
Schwindt
Last 5: Turcotte 2-3 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
0
1
Turcotte
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Turcotte
Schwindt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.1% (370)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
66.7% (6)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (16)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Turcotte is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Turcotte shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Schwindt
Home
51.7% (346)
45.5% (213)
Away
51.2% (332)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Turcotte
Schwindt
P1
53.8%
51.8%
P2
53.8%
48.6%
P3
46.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |