Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.9%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 55.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Turcotte
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Turcotte
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Turcotte
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Turcotte
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
46.7% (398)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
51.6% (31)
+8.4%
On power play, Turcotte has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Turcotte is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Turcotte shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Bjugstad
Home
46.3% (41)
47.3% (220)
Away
45.0% (80)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Turcotte
Bjugstad
P1
43.6%
46.1%
P2
39.0%
46.3%
P3
53.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
37.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |