Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 87.2%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 63.2%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 77.7%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Turcotte
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Turcotte
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Turcotte
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Turcotte
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
62.1% (356)
-18.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
75.0% (4)
-15.0%
On even strength, Sturm has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Turcotte shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Sturm
Home
46.3% (41)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.0% (80)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Turcotte
Sturm
P1
43.6%
58.0%
P2
39.0%
57.9%
P3
53.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
37.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |