Alexander Kerfoot vs Brock Nelson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Nelson 49.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Kerfoot
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kerfoot
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Kerfoot
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
49.9% (840)
-4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.8% (89)
+47.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
28.6% (35)
+6.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Nelson
Home
49.5% (107)
49.8% (458)
Away
32.4% (71)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Kerfoot
Nelson
P1
38.2%
50.1%
P2
47.4%
45.4%
P3
40.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |