Alexander Kerfoot vs Brock Nelson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Nelson 45.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 50.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Kerfoot
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
46.1% (735)
+4.3%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
34.5% (29)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
30.4% (23)
+8.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Nelson
Home
51.4% (467)
48.7% (419)
Away
43.5% (395)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Kerfoot
Nelson
P1
49.1%
44.6%
P2
42.4%
47.3%
P3
52.7%
43.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |