Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor McDavid
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 41.4%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs McDavid 42.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 61.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kerfoot
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
McDavid
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
3
Kerfoot
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Kerfoot
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
41.4% (855)
+0.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
47.8% (23)
-4.9%
On power play, McDavid has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kerfoot is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Kerfoot shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McDavid
Home
43.2% (250)
42.8% (451)
Away
40.9% (242)
40.0% (458)
By Period
Kerfoot
McDavid
P1
39.2%
38.0%
P2
43.9%
44.9%
P3
43.1%
41.7%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |