Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor McDavid
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs McDavid 51.8% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 59.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kerfoot
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
51.5% (889)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
63.9% (36)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
51.2% (86)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McDavid
Home
47.6% (84)
50.7% (513)
Away
41.0% (61)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Kerfoot
McDavid
P1
50.9%
52.3%
P2
38.2%
51.6%
P3
44.1%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%