Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor McDavid
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs McDavid 51.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 50.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 59.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 58.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Kerfoot
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kerfoot
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Kerfoot
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.6% (803)
-1.2%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
50.0% (40)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
36.4% (22)
+2.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McDavid
Home
51.4% (467)
51.8% (415)
Away
43.5% (395)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Kerfoot
McDavid
P1
49.1%
47.5%
P2
42.4%
51.6%
P3
52.7%
55.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |