Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor McDavid
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs McDavid 49.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 76.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 80.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 68.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Kerfoot
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Kerfoot
McDavid
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
3
Kerfoot
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
3
Kerfoot
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
5
Kerfoot
McDavid
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
49.1% (621)
-7.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
78.6% (14)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
0.0% (3)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McDavid
Home
40.3% (139)
56.1% (330)
Away
41.2% (165)
42.5% (308)
By Period
Kerfoot
McDavid
P1
36.8%
49.2%
P2
42.1%
47.4%
P3
44.6%
53.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |