Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 66.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Kerfoot
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kerfoot
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
54.5% (483)
-9.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
58.3% (12)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
43.9% (155)
-8.9%
On even strength, Evans has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
47.6% (84)
49.4% (336)
Away
41.0% (61)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
50.9%
55.8%
P2
38.2%
51.7%
P3
44.1%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |