Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Evans 52.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 68.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Kerfoot
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
54.4% (824)
-1.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
66.7% (9)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
48.1% (289)
+0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
57.4% (235)
55.1% (541)
Away
47.9% (259)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
53.2%
51.8%
P2
53.3%
53.3%
P3
50.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |