Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Evans 55.4% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 70.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 56.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kerfoot
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
56.2% (477)
-3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
70.0% (10)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
55.4% (204)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
39.2% (51)
55.3% (374)
Away
57.1% (63)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
51.1%
58.5%
P2
51.6%
55.7%
P3
44.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%