Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Carter 54.6% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 76.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 75.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 79.0%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Kerfoot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kerfoot
Carter
Last 7: Kerfoot 2-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Kerfoot
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Kerfoot
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
53.1% (307)
-11.1%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
62.5% (64)
-19.6%
On power play, Carter has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kerfoot is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Kerfoot shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Carter
Home
43.2% (250)
58.9% (285)
Away
40.9% (242)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Kerfoot
Carter
P1
39.2%
54.9%
P2
43.9%
57.5%
P3
43.1%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |