Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 53.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 65.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Kerfoot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kerfoot
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
57.9% (885)
-12.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.7% (133)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
45.4% (119)
-10.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Carter
Home
49.5% (107)
58.2% (543)
Away
32.4% (71)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Kerfoot
Carter
P1
38.2%
57.5%
P2
47.4%
57.1%
P3
40.4%
55.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |