Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Carter 58.5% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 90.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 76.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Kerfoot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kerfoot
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kerfoot
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
59.7% (727)
-14.7%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
68.1% (72)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
53.2% (139)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Carter
Home
47.6% (84)
58.7% (455)
Away
41.0% (61)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Kerfoot
Carter
P1
50.9%
61.3%
P2
38.2%
57.1%
P3
44.1%
59.8%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |