Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 75.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 59.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Kerfoot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kerfoot
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Kerfoot
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
65.6% (262)
-15.2%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
68.3% (63)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
50.5% (99)
-11.3%
On power play, Carter has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Carter
Home
51.4% (467)
64.3% (207)
Away
43.5% (395)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Kerfoot
Carter
P1
49.1%
65.3%
P2
42.4%
60.1%
P3
52.7%
63.8%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |