Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Carter 51.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Kerfoot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kerfoot
Carter
Last 8: Kerfoot 5-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
2
Kerfoot
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
52.2% (552)
-4.9%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
56.4% (94)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
41.0% (100)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Kerfoot shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Carter
Home
53.2% (216)
51.2% (324)
Away
39.8% (191)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Kerfoot
Carter
P1
43.2%
49.8%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
51.2%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
46.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |