Alexander Kerfoot vs Mason McTavish

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kerfoot 47.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor McTavish leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone McTavish 50.4%
Defensive zone Kerfoot 62.0%
Neutral zone McTavish 51.2%
Result Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kerfoot McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 7 (10 meetings)
3
7
Kerfoot McTavish
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
4
Kerfoot McTavish
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kerfoot McTavish
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kerfoot
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
48.2% (2,788)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
52.6% (435)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
34.3% (35)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +5.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,110).
Kerfoot shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McTavish
Home
51.0% (1,786)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Kerfoot
McTavish
P1
47.2%
50.0%
P2
46.0%
47.8%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
29.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%
53.5%
47.7%
McTavish
46.0%
45.5%
48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 22, 2024 3 03:26 Defensive Alexander Kerfoot
Oct 16, 2024 3 03:45 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2024 3 03:41 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2024 3 03:04 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2024 3 02:12 Defensive Alexander Kerfoot
Oct 16, 2024 2 07:43 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2024 1 13:25 Neutral Mason McTavish
Dec 29, 2023 2 14:05 Offensive Mason McTavish
Dec 29, 2023 2 10:05 Neutral Mason McTavish
Nov 1, 2023 1 13:47 Offensive Alexander Kerfoot