Alexander Kerfoot vs Mason McTavish
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs McTavish 51.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 64.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kerfoot
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kerfoot
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kerfoot
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.3% (725)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
55.8% (113)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
28.6% (7)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McTavish
Home
51.4% (467)
52.0% (454)
Away
43.5% (395)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Kerfoot
McTavish
P1
49.1%
51.3%
P2
42.4%
50.4%
P3
52.7%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |