Alexander Kerfoot vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs McTavish 50.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 67.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 53.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 59.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Kerfoot
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kerfoot
McTavish
Last 7: Kerfoot 2-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Kerfoot
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kerfoot
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
51.1% (769)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.6% (178)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
28.6% (14)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McTavish
Home
57.4% (235)
52.3% (461)
Away
47.9% (259)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Kerfoot
McTavish
P1
53.2%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
54.0%
P3
50.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |