Alexander Kerfoot vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs McTavish 50.0% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kerfoot
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
48.7% (532)
-0.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.1% (88)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
33.3% (6)
-20.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Kerfoot shoots left. McTavish is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McTavish
Home
28.0% (25)
54.8% (303)
Away
64.7% (17)
45.5% (323)
By Period
Kerfoot
McTavish
P1
47.6%
51.5%
P2
25.0%
49.5%
P3
55.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.0%