Alexander Kerfoot vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 63.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 70.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
56.1% (690)
-11.1%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
64.6% (96)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
45.9% (109)
-10.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
Home
47.6% (84)
58.3% (408)
Away
41.0% (61)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kerfoot
O'Reilly
P1
50.9%
57.7%
P2
38.2%
54.8%
P3
44.1%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%