Alexander Kerfoot vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 66.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 71.2%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kerfoot
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
55.3% (897)
-10.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
61.1% (113)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
50.8% (132)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kerfoot is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Kerfoot shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (84)
58.6% (560)
Away
41.0% (61)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Kerfoot
Karlsson
P1
50.9%
55.8%
P2
38.2%
55.6%
P3
44.1%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |