Alexander Kerfoot vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 66.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 68.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 67.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Kerfoot
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
56.3% (739)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
58.6% (181)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
47.2% (53)
-8.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Home
51.4% (467)
56.5% (462)
Away
43.5% (395)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Kerfoot
Karlsson
P1
49.1%
57.1%
P2
42.4%
55.2%
P3
52.7%
56.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |