Alexander Kerfoot vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 68.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kerfoot
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
58.5% (135)
-5.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
80.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
44.4% (18)
-19.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Home
39.2% (51)
63.7% (91)
Away
57.1% (63)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kerfoot
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
54.4%
P2
51.6%
66.7%
P3
44.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%