Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.9% vs Ryan 54.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 75.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 57.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Wennberg
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Wennberg
Ryan
Last 9: Wennberg 4-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
Wennberg
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Wennberg
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (986)
60.2% (387)
-14.6%
Power Play
51.4% (144)
28.6% (7)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
43.2% (118)
+8.5%
On power play, Wennberg has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Wennberg is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Wennberg shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Ryan
Home
46.4% (621)
56.7% (254)
Away
46.9% (569)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Wennberg
Ryan
P1
42.9%
56.9%
P2
49.3%
51.7%
P3
47.6%
59.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |