Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Ryan 57.4% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 67.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 52.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Wennberg
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
61.4% (220)
-13.5%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
100.0% (1)
-49.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
51.7% (29)
-15.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Wennberg is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Wennberg shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Ryan
Home
47.2% (489)
64.2% (137)
Away
47.8% (580)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Wennberg
Ryan
P1
47.1%
58.9%
P2
48.1%
62.8%
P3
47.5%
59.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%