Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Ryan 50.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 74.0%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 66.7%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 66.3%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Wennberg
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Wennberg
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Wennberg
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Wennberg
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
50.9% (344)
-3.5%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
75.0% (4)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
45.3% (86)
-3.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Wennberg is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Wennberg shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Ryan
Home
46.1% (661)
53.7% (214)
Away
45.1% (714)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Wennberg
Ryan
P1
48.5%
45.0%
P2
42.6%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
54.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |