Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Evans 55.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 90.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 71.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 80.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Wennberg
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Wennberg
Evans
Last 8: Wennberg 2-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Wennberg
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Wennberg
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
56.2% (477)
-10.4%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
70.0% (10)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
55.4% (204)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Evans
Home
47.3% (607)
55.3% (374)
Away
44.6% (579)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Wennberg
Evans
P1
44.5%
58.5%
P2
46.2%
55.7%
P3
47.4%
53.9%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |