Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Evans 52.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 74.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Wennberg
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Evans
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
1
Wennberg
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Wennberg
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
54.4% (824)
-6.5%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
66.7% (9)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
48.1% (289)
-11.4%
On power play, Evans has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Wennberg is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Wennberg shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Evans
Home
47.2% (489)
55.1% (541)
Away
47.8% (580)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Wennberg
Evans
P1
47.1%
51.8%
P2
48.1%
53.3%
P3
47.5%
53.8%
OT
45.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |