Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 66.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 56.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Wennberg
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wennberg
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Wennberg
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
54.5% (483)
-7.1%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
58.3% (12)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
43.9% (155)
-2.2%
On power play, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Wennberg is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Wennberg shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Evans
Home
46.1% (661)
49.4% (336)
Away
45.1% (714)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Wennberg
Evans
P1
48.5%
55.8%
P2
42.6%
51.7%
P3
46.3%
48.2%
OT
38.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Jake Evans |