Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Evans 52.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 51.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 77.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Wennberg
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Wennberg
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Wennberg
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
54.4% (807)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
55.0% (20)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
46.1% (310)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Wennberg is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Wennberg shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Evans
Home
48.6% (629)
53.7% (581)
Away
44.0% (559)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Wennberg
Evans
P1
48.3%
54.6%
P2
48.7%
50.0%
P3
42.6%
52.3%
OT
38.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |