Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 44.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 57.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Wennberg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Wennberg
Eller
Last 10: Wennberg 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
5
3
Wennberg
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (788)
52.9% (306)
-10.1%
Power Play
47.0% (100)
40.5% (37)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
45.5% (66)
+1.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Wennberg is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Wennberg shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Eller
Home
47.6% (483)
49.7% (181)
Away
38.7% (439)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Wennberg
Eller
P1
41.5%
54.2%
P2
46.3%
46.5%
P3
42.2%
49.6%
OT
45.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |