Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Eller 53.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 62.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 52.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Wennberg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wennberg
Eller
Last 5: Wennberg 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Wennberg
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
53.8% (865)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
57.1% (21)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
52.6% (137)
-10.9%
On power play, Eller has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Wennberg shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Eller
Home
46.1% (661)
56.4% (486)
Away
45.1% (714)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Wennberg
Eller
P1
48.5%
55.1%
P2
42.6%
55.3%
P3
46.3%
51.7%
OT
38.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |