Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Eller 52.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 55.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Wennberg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Wennberg
Eller
Last 10: Wennberg 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Wennberg
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
2
Wennberg
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
52.8% (742)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
67.6% (34)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
46.2% (156)
-11.6%
On power play, Eller has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Eller
Home
48.6% (629)
54.5% (448)
Away
44.0% (559)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Wennberg
Eller
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
48.7%
50.9%
P3
42.6%
53.4%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |