Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Eller 55.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 64.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 64.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 63.4%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Wennberg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wennberg
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
56.5% (434)
-10.7%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
77.8% (9)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
56.5% (46)
-19.2%
On power play, Eller has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Eller
Home
47.3% (607)
53.1% (211)
Away
44.6% (579)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Wennberg
Eller
P1
44.5%
55.4%
P2
46.2%
58.1%
P3
47.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |